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This summer Porter is ramping up to 12 E195 daily departures from YHZ (3x daily to YYZ/YUL/YOW/YYT). In comparison Porter will have 15 E195 daily departures from YOW (daily 4xYYZ/3xYHZ/2xYVR/YEG/YYC/1xYWG/MCO). |
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The following airlines just received license to operate scheduled service between Canada and Europe. The last one will be interesting...
- KlasJet Lithuania - Legend Airline Romania - Norse Atlantic UK |
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It's all and wonderful to have big dreams, but the aviation sector in this country has a weird way of doing it. It is very '3 Stooges trying to walk through the door together' vibes. The Canadian aviation market needed shaking up, but the 3 Stooges way of approaching it seems the wrong one. Porter didn't need to bet the house, but it sure has. Doubled down, too. Odd timing, unless they feel the competition's not as robust as it seems to be and they can win in the long-term. We shall see how long Porter's money lasts. Flair's surprised me so far, even if ominous headlines keep appearing. |
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....Bromides notwithstanding, the TPA has acted in virtual lockstep with Porter. Its former CEO, current federal Minister of Transport Lisa Raitt, played bountiful midwife at Porter’s birth, granting Deluce the lion’s share (originally 95 per cent, now 85 per cent) of landing slots at Billy Bishop and ceding exclusive rights to operate a terminal. “The way Deluce has played the Port Authority is masterful,” says Douglas Reid, a former TPA board member, now teaching at Queen’s School of Business. “He got them to buy a second ferry boat. He got them to build the tunnel. How he gets these doings done is nothing short of a miracle. The record of decisions favouring Deluce, without exposing him to costs, raises the question of who’s running the airport. It’s a textbook case of a tenant capturing a landlord.”.. https://torontolife.com/city/the-rel...robert-deluce/ Nobody's mentioned it, but they also just got a Canada Infrastructure Bank loan for building the St.Hubert airport on Montreal's south shore. Thereby neatly setting the Deluce's up to repeat the YTZ game plan by selling it off in a few years. Deluce is definitely shrewd. New St-Hubert airport terminal gets $90-million loan from infrastructure bank The South Shore airport's terminal, which is scheduled to open in 2025, will be able to handle up to four million passengers a year. Author of the article:Frédéric Tomesco Published Feb 06, 2024 A new airport terminal in St-Hubert is expected to open in 2025. Image courtesy of Porter Airlines St-Hubert airport’s planned expansion is a step closer to reality after the Canada Infrastructure Bank approved a $90-million investment in a new passenger terminal. The loan will allow Toronto-based Porter Aviation Holdings Inc. and Australia’s Macquarie Asset Management to jointly build the terminal, CIB said Tuesday. Exact terms aren’t being disclosed, though the financing is of a long-term nature, the federal Crown corporation said. Airport authorities said last week that the airfield had been renamed Montreal Metropolitan Airport as part of its makeover. St-Hubert’s main runway can accommodate most commercial aircraft operating in Canada. Scheduled to open in the summer of 2025, the new terminal — estimated to cost at least $200 million — will eventually be able to handle up to four million passengers a year. Porter plans to serve all major Canadian cities from the South Shore with a combination of Embraer E195-E2 jets and Dash 8-400 turboprops, while providing connecting flights for passengers served by Pascan regional airlines..... https://montrealgazette.com/business...ers%20a%20year. |
The Montreal Metropolitan airport in St Hubert is not really a copy-paste of the YTZ business model though. Importantly, you need to cross a bridge to get to/from downtown, so most if not all the time saving will be due to the smaller/more efficient terminal compared to YUL, rather than physical distance. Per Google, as I'm writing this it takes 21 min to get to YUL from Place Ville-Marie, vs 25 min to get to St Hubert airport... without even mentioning that YUL will at long last get a real transit link to downtown, so until St Hubert gets the same YUL will absolutely win out accessibility wise thanks to predictable travel time.
I think the main positives will be to help offload YUL which is bursting at the seams (though the bulk of the issue is more of the intl side, so the effect will be muted), and (presumably) lower operating costs for Porter themselves. But for travellers anywhere outside the South Shore, this will not nearly be the game changer YTZ has been. |
There's only so many aces you can hide up your sleeve.
Getting a loan and then having to pay it back, with interest, isn't the same as getting other people to do things for you, the way they did at YTZ (tunnel, second ferry, etc). And as I've said before, while they're trying to emulate YTZ over at YHU, it won't be nearly as much a success story as they think it will. Montreal is not Toronto. 1. YHU isn't any closer to downtown Montreal compared to YUL. It might even take more time to get to downtown compared to YUL. 2. YHU will be limited to domestic flights only, and no one in Quebec wants to go to Edmonton or Winnipeg or Regina. YUL's lackluster domestic numbers are proof of this. If PD thinks it will have a dozen Ejet flights a day from YHU to YYZ, YVR, YYC, YEG, YWG, etc, and make money off of it, even with feed from Pascan, they're dreaming. All they will do is add costs running crew at a second Montreal airport, for very little gain, because they know they will need to keep their ops at YUL going, due to the TS tie-up. The true winners here are AC, which will take over the freed up gates at YUL with pleasure, and DASH-L, the airport operator at YHU, which is getting a shiny new terminal building for free, essentially. Still a lot of unanswered questions with PD's expansion plans in general. Time will tell if it's successful or not. I have very serious doubts. |
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That said, I'd rather Porter survive than Flair. |
WS adding the following YHM routes for S24:
YHM-YHZ - 1x daily YHM-YYT - 5x weekly YHM-MCO - 2x weekly Also there’s a one time 787 flight added between YVR-YYC on April 28 likely for repositioning purposes. |
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Time will tell on YHU.
I suspect they’re really aiming for the south shore market. I’m sure some will use it. Some will fly to YYZ to connect. Some will use it to visit family on the south shore or eastwards. The question is whether the domestic tourist market will even consider it. And whether it can work with the TS alliance and with the soup maybe being thinned out too much with “focus” at YHU+YUL+YOW. And how many passengers it takes to make viable. Despite current restrictions, I expect they’ll find a way to add some US (read: Florida) eventually. |
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Still baffled YHU is shutout from transborder operations. Seems very anti competitive.
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YUL: a) Feed TS from the west, including YYZ, b) serve the majority of Montreal-YTZ flights, c) keep the longstanding YUL-YHZ high O&D route that affords some connections west and d) for anything transborder/international they do out of Montreal to sun destinations. I also think eventually there will be a couple of YUL-YOW DH4s per day to feed YOW's morning and evening banks and to feed TS at YUL. YHU: anything domestic, including some overlap with YUL to YHZ, YYZ & YTZ. Flights timed for connections, including schedule coordination with Pascan. Possible destinations beyond the three already mentioned: YYT, YYG (seasonally), YQM, YFC, YXU, YOW (like YUL a couple of DH4s per day for feed on both ends), YWG, YEG, YYC, YVR on PD metal, plus maybe the likes of YXU, YSJ on Pascan. Does anyone know whether PD will be able to sell transborder/international connections to/from YHU via YOW/YYZ or is that also banned too as part of the ADM's monopoly on those flights? |
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The next two PD routes to be announced, include the much talked about "matter of when" YYT-YOW and a new PD destination - YDF to YHZ.
YHZ-YDF will be on the DH4. Here are the schedules eff 04JUN24 for YDF-YHZ and 06JUN24 for YYT-YOW: PD2195 YHZ-YDF 1245-1443 PD2196 YDF-YHZ 1525-1630 PD 296 YYT-YOW 0600-0745 PD 299 YOW-YYT 1410-1825 https://www.newswire.ca/news-release...860883531.html |
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On the Montreal end, YHU is very unlikely to ever be the preferred business O/D gateway. For business folks taking a cab (the majority), YUL is better. For those preferring transit, YUL will be a single seat ride to the heart of downtown, vs (presumably) a 3-seat ride from YHU (shuttle - yellow line - orange or green). It will only be a business gateway to the South Shore (say, Dix30), the same way you'd pick YYZ when going to Brampton or Mississauga. What YHU would be well positioned for is low cost leisure, but without pre-clearance you'd have to go for really attractive fares to make up for the inconvenience. Domestic leisure out of Montreal is pretty weak, too. Maybe the idea is to use as a lower cost-of-operation feeder into YOW and YTZ. We'll see. |
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WS496 YHM 17:00 - 20:08 YHZ 7S8 D WS371 YHZ 22:10 - 23:38 YHM 7S8 D WS466 YHM 08:00 - 12:35 YYT 7S8 12356 WS467 YYT 13:35 - 15:42 YHM 7S8 12356 WS1914 YHM 07:05 - 10:05 MCO 7S8 47 WS1715 MCO 11:30 - 14:20 YHM 7S8 47 |
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I wonder if preclearance costs anything extra. If it does, a non-precleared airport could actually be an advantage for a leisure airline. |
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Whether you fly out of YUL or YHU, if your final destination is somewhere in the US, you will be paying the same fee for USCBP in your ticket, which at the moment is 6.97$ per passenger. Doesn't matter where you clear customs. |
YOW's January 2024 pax numbers are out. The weak domestic numbers can pretty much be entirely attributed to F8 + 3 fewer daily WS departures to YYZ. PD's additions haven't had time yet to catch up with the lost capacity.
Sector / Jan-23 / Jan-24 / % Change Dom: 204,142 / 198,166 / -2.9% TB: 42,530 / 71,462 / +68.0% - just shy of 2015's record of 72,879 Int'l: 54,055 / 71,790 / +32.8% - close to 2012's record, both for January and all-time monthly of 73,607 TTL: 300,727 / 341,418 / +13.5% - slightly higher than 2008 which came in at 340,169 January % of traffic recovered vs 2019 Sector / Traffic % recovered January 2024 vs January 2019 Dom: 72.6% TB: 107.3% Int'l: 112.5% TTL: 84.6% 12 Months Rolling / % Change vs Year End 2022 Dom: 3,196,923 / +18.0% TB: 605,065 / +217.9% Int'l: 334,617 / +232.5% TTL: 4,136,605 / +253.3% |
As of tonight, Mexicans will need visas to enter Canada once again.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/mex...ylum-1.7128408 Let’s see how this affects AM on their multiple daily flights from MEX to YUL, YVR and YYZ. I think reductions are more than likely. The article says it won’t be as bad as the Harper era visa requirement, but that it will still affect 40% of Mexican travellers to Canada. |
WS resumes TATL operations from Eastern Canada today with daily YYZ-DUB kicking off. First non-YYC TATL since 2022.
WS will operate to up to 4 Europe destinations this month which is the most they've served this early in the season. (LHR, CDG, DUB and FCO). |
Somewhat tangential but it is great to see Boeing unwinding some of the disastrous decisions made by previous leaders. Now move the HQ back to Seattle!
Boeing Is in Talks to Buy Ex-Unit Spirit AeroSystems Both companies are facing scrutiny over quality lapses Spirit Aero had been owned by Boeing before 2005 spinout March 1, 2024 at 8:17 AM PST Boeing Co. is in discussions to acquire Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Inc., a move that would reclaim control of its struggling former aerostructures unit and the main supplier at the center of numerous quality issues affecting the 737 Max airliner.... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...&sref=x4rjnz06 |
StatsCan finally posted December 2023 aircraft movements numbers for Canada's airports. So 2023 full year figures are available if you add up the monthly totals.
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1...pid=2310029601 I already did the hard work and compiled it all, at least for the top 22 airports in the country. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...orts_in_Canada Notable decreases compared to last year, most likely all VFR movement related: YQB (-12.4%) YTZ (-10.5%) YOW (-7.1%) They all lost several spots in the rankings. There are some tight races to watch for this year, if the Y.O.Y increases trend the same way...(YYC/YUL in particular). Quote:
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With YOO up 19% it’s evident where all the Buttonville movements went to. Some probably also went to the privately owned Brampton air strip. Surprised none shifted to YTZ. Yeah Boeing spinning off ICT into Spirit was nothing but corporate greed just like the HQ move to a city where they had no historical ties to. It’s karma on them. |
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I compiled the aircraft movement numbers for 2022/2023 for all 42 airports with NavCan control towers in Canada.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...orts_in_Canada Quote:
Level of service study for YND is currently in progress. https://www.navcanada.ca/en/air-traf...-gatineau.aspx As for Buttonville, I'm not surprised about the GA pilots not moving over to YTZ. If you lived around YKZ, then City-Centre is not convenient at all. It also might not have that much additional space for aircraft parking, and the airport fees at YTZ must be astronomical compared to a place like YOO. Quote:
AC’s winter seasonal sun flights out of YQB were negligible in terms of additional movements. The reduction in movements from 2022>2023 was 16,720 movements. AC's flights to sun routes (FLL, CUN, PUJ and MCO), based on the source linked, was 18 flights a week (at peak), for ~4 months out of the year. That's less than 300 arrivals/departures. That's it. So clearly not the main reason. |
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I swear, WS/YHM have the strangest relationship ever. |
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What constitutes an "aircraft movement"? A student goes out, takes off, does 3 touch and go's and one final landing in an hour. Does that count as 8 movements, one for each take off and landing, or only 2 for the initial take off and final landing, or does a touch and go count as one movement, for 5 in that example? For YXU to have 300-ish a day on average, I would have to think almost 90% of those are student flights from the several flight schools.
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I would assume prices will come down to some extent, but it shouldn't have much impact on business travel or tourist travel from those who already are avid travelers. Anyone I know there that would potentially travel to Canada already has a US visa and would not be impacted by the new Canadian visa requirements. |
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A takeoff is a movement. A landing is a movement. A touch and go is a combination of both of them, so counts as 2 movements (a landing, followed immediately by a takeoff) Therefore, a takeoff, 3 touch and goes, followed by a landing counts as 8 movements. This is why and how an airport like Boundary Bay is the third busiest airport in the country. 70% of the movements there are local, i.e. touch and goes. Quote:
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The benefit of doing a low approach vs a touch and go (especially at airports like YYZ/YUL) is that they don’t have to pay the landing fee (which can be very expensive) each time. But movement wise, it’s counted the same as a touch and go. |
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Air Transat is dropping these routes that were summer seasonal. |
I noticed TS pulled all their summer domestic transcons as well out of YUL. The PD flights launching this summer are well timed to connect to TS' atlantic flights.
I also suppose this doesn't preclude YOW from getting these routes as well. I wouldn't expect YOW-LAX/SFO to have TS codeshares. |
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Wonder where TS will redeploy the 321 capacity to as the transcons I believe were all non-LR routes? Looks like TS' only remaining domestic routes are YQB-YUL and YYZ-YUL. |
AC has removed YUL-CAI it seems for summer 2024
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Will be interesting to see if ever MS picks up the slack. Their costs are probably more suited for the intent of this route, mainly targeting the Egyptian diaspora in Montreal, which is lower yielding by nature. |
According to airliners.net
AC launches YUL-ICN AC67 YUL-ICN 789 D1246 1235-1625+1 18JUN24-24OCT24 AC68 ICN-YUL 789 D2357 1800-1830 19JUN24-25OCT24 Direct replacement of CAI |
^well there you go.
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