Quote:
Originally Posted by trueviking
House sizes have doubled since the 1980’s. Family sizes have dropped by 1/4.
Truck and SUV sales have doubled car sales in the last decade.
Cars per household has continued to grow.
Commuting distances continue to grow.
Transit use has declined in Winnipeg since 1990.
The city has doubled in size while only growing by 1/3 in population.
Cycling participation rates have remained basically flat over the last decade.
We heat our houses with natural gas despite having ample hydro.
I could go on. Everyone has lots of options.
|
re: House sizes and cars: Will today's McMansions be tomorrow's rooming houses?
As a share of overall vehicle sales trucks and SUVs now substantially outsell cars, but total sales of new vehicles are no higher in absolute terms then they were 35 years ago. It's just a case of consumer preference and gas remains
relatively inexpensive. The gasoline price of $0.499/L in the mid 80s is the equivalent to $1.12/L today.
re: Transit use has declined in Winnipeg since 1990.
It's become
relatively expensive to use transit and there is a perception amongst many in recent years that it is unsafe. If fares had risen by the rate of inflation since the 1970s, the full adult fare would be $1.25 and the children's/senior's fare would be $0.50.
At the same time, service levels have been much reduced. The same amount of buses are serving much longer routes (and in many cases running empty for large portions of the route). The new strategy is to build RT lines to low density subdivisions in hopes that those residing there will start using transit as opposed to making improvements in denser inner city and older suburban areas where there is already high ridership. That strategy will fail. Service cuts are now being contemplated city wide to ensure that buses will run empty along the SWBRT in order to meet headways that at most times of day will not correspond with demand.
re: The city has doubled in size while only growing by 1/3 in population.
Lots of cheap land here and appalling urban planning. The developers have run the show for decades. Winnipeg has suffered from the doughnut effect more than any other large Canadian city. The central city's population has declined by more than 25% since its peak in 1961 and is only slightly larger now then was a century ago (179,000 in 1921). By comparison, despite being fairly stagnant for decades starting in the 1930s, inner city Toronto now (798,000) has a population more than 50% higher than in 1921 and the City of Vancouver has seen more than a 50% growth in population just since 1981.
re: Cycling participation rates have remained basically flat over the last decade.
Is that true Canada-wide or just in Winnipeg? It's too cold here for 5-6 months of the year to cycle here.
re: We heat our houses with natural gas despite having ample hydro.
Ask anyone who heats with hydro. It's 2 to 3 times the cost.
re: I could go on. Everyone has lots of options.
Our cities have been built to be car-dependent. Think of grocery shopping. If I want to go downtown by bus and get a few bags of groceries at comparable prices to suburban big-box supermarkets, can I? Believe it, I know several people who live downtown and they are just as car dependent as people living in the suburbs. Our housing stock is also quite old and inefficient. Without massive subsidies to working and middle class people to enable upgrades for greater efficiencies in the home and in transport, it's impossible to see how emissions could be substantially reduced over the short term, especially with the current rate of population growth.
To use an idiom, it's like talking out of both sides of your mouth.