Quote:
Originally Posted by iheartthed
Yes, and my point is that the millennial population is finite. Every millennial that is ever gonna live is already walking the Earth and old enough to drink a beer in America. It is unlikely that cities will see further growth of millennial populations because just about every millennial that wants to live in a big American city is already there. Any new significant growth of millennial populations in big cities would have to come from abroad.
|
Yes there is a comment error that all teenagers and 20 somethings are "millennials" I think its because the news media has been positively obsessed with this age group for nearly 20 years as either the great progressive saviors of America or the death of everything and harbingers of doom (Neither of which will pan out to be accurate).
Because of this people equate every lame trend or stupid click-bait headline about literally-who-cares college student X being weird as "ugh millennials". Its all very wrong.
THAT being said, you are 100% right now that millennials are getting older cities will only see their numbers shrink by pure mortality (there will be less millennials living tomorrow than there were today) and, most people despite what anyone tells you, will move into single family neighborhoods when they want to have families.
Now you cant rant and rave about how raising a kid in an urban area is fine for X, y or Z but it doesnt matter, the Truth is you simply cant afford the kind of space, sfaftey, schools and amenities in a city for a family as you can in single family and suburban neighborhoods.
Is it technically available in urban areas? Sure if you are extremely wealthy, but for most people it will never work, so even died in the wool progressive interracial gay couples who adopt children....most of those couples will buy homes with yards in "suburban" areas.
Its just the way people are. Its not going to change, and in 20 years the Gen Z kids will follow the same pattern.
Now the pervasive exurban drive to you qualify attitude is way less common now than in say 1997 but it is still there and will always be to some extent. But you will never get your average family to live in urban style apartment living with kids when single family housing is available only a short commute away.