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Originally Posted by Authentic_City
^So the city seems to think that Stats Can is systematically under-counting Winnipeg's population by a pretty significant number? On what basis are they making this claim, I wonder?
I remember reading an article in the Globe and Mail in the early 2000s that predicted Hamilton CMA and London, ON CMA would overtake Winnipeg CMA in fairly short order. Seems like that clearly isn't happening now. Amazing how things changed in the last several years.
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I think so, I recall when the 2011 census came out Winnipeg's CMA was also low compared to what StatCans own Population Estimates were and the city's estimates at the time. I think the city's own numbers aligned more so with the statscan estimates, rather than the census
Further to those puzzling figures, there was also a lot of discussion about how actually the population estimates were more accurate than the official census and how Manitoba had a strong undercount for some reason (they are called estimates because the numbers are rounded up or down for "clean" figures, so 754,398 people would be 754,400) but the discussion centred on why the estimates are actually more accurate numbers
If you compared the population estimates for 2012 to the 2011 census, there was a gap in Winnipeg's numbers by a (surprise surprise) similar gap that seems to exist from the city of Winnipeg's own data to the latest census.
http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tabl...emo05a-eng.htm
As you can see there, Winnipeg CMA was ~760k in 2012 yet in the 2011 census results released that same year, Winnipeg was ~730k...undercounts happen, yes it is part of the census process with people not responding to the census agents (maybe you're at work during that time for example), not filling out their census forms, or whatever the reason may be....but 30k is a
lot of people to miss.
Growth itself is so fluid. There was a time Winnipeg was claimed to have 2-3 million people by the time 2000 came along the calendar. Things clearly can change. If you look at Winnipeg's growth in the last 5 years, it paints a positive growth trend for a city that grows "slow and steady"...6.6% over that timespan is an impressive number and more akin to "growing briskly and steady" than it is "slow"....slow would be something more in line with Halifax's growth rates imo.
The 90s was a rough time for Winnipeg, probably the roughest in it's entire history so it is understandable where those proclamations came from, but today they are quite absurd.
Hopefully Winnipeg's positive growth trends continue, and I think they will at least for the near future. (Until 2021)