Quote:
Originally Posted by thurmas
Being from winnipeg I have never understood why saskatchewan (and the maritimes for that matter) never urbanize as quickly as the rest of canada. I mean half of british columbians live in Vancouver, 60% of manitobans live in Winnipeg, 2/3 of albertans live in Calgary and Edmonton. I always thought that Saskatoon and Regina should be 50-100% larger than their current sizes for a province of 1million+ people?
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There is an excellent
series of tables from Statistics Canada showing the changing urbanization as far back as 1851.
Although the lowest of the prairie provinces, it is still higher than all the Atlantic Provinces.
Looking at the tables, there is actually an interesting story here. Alberta's rural population is the only prairie province to see a growing rural population, albeit far outpaced by its growing urban population. Manitoba's rural population has declined somewhat since 1941 (it's peak rural population); however, since 1951, there hasn't been a significant change.
Saskatchewan's peak rural population was approximately 631000 people in 1931. Since then, it has dropped to almost half that amount, to 350000 people. This is by far the most dramatic change in rural population in Canada (unless you consider BC's rural population doubling over the same period as more dramatic).
So, Saskatchewan has seen a huge shift away from rural areas; however, its urban centres failed to draw the exodus of rural dwellers. Despite the urban population doubling over the same period, the overall population has remained fairly stable at around one million since 1931.
I suspect the much larger centres of Calgary and Edmonton and to a lesser extent, Winnipeg, drew away most of the rural Saskatchewan population. It's only in recent years that we've seen the trend change. I wasn't able to find any breakdown for 2006, but I'd be interested in seeing how much of a change occurred in the rural-urban divide. As of 2008, Saskatchewan's population is approaching its 1986 population. If the rural population trend continues, the number may end up looking more like 67-33 instead of 64-36. In any case, as the scales balance out a bit between Saskatchewan and Alberta, I expect that Regina and Saskatoon will become far more competitive in attracting people, both from within Saskatchewan, and outside, and the rate of urbanization will likely increase significantly.