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  #1021  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 6:03 AM
Corndogger Corndogger is offline
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Originally Posted by suburbia View Post
Latest poll shows a virtual dead heat

LINK - https://tracker.zinc-tank.com/
I thought this looked more than a bit sketchy so I decided to do some digging. Guess who's behind this? It's Nenshi's long-time, always wrong, personal pollster Brian F. Singh. When you start to see shit like this you know that the NDP doesn't have a hope in hell of winning.
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  #1022  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 1:59 PM
milomilo milomilo is offline
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Originally Posted by jawagord View Post
Probably the worst ND policy is the carbon tax applied to power generation. Good opinion article in the herald on the financial consequences of not understanding Alberta’s electricity market. Most of the tax revenue is going to power producers and not the government. Plus the ND’s buried the $2 billion dollar payment to the balancing pool in the provincial deficit so consumers wouldn’t see it on our bills. Now they are being sued for libel for their CYA smear job on Robert Hemstock.

A rough accounting of the total impact on consumers is that in 2018 they paid about $850 million in higher electricity prices because of the carbon tax, while the Alberta government collected only $325 million in carbon tax revenues from electricity generators. In effect, the government has combined a cap and trade scheme with a carbon tax inside a very complex power market, leading to unintended consequences: high costs to consumers and leakage of revenue.

The situation is deeply ironic. The carbon tax was imposed to reduce CO2 emissions. But the actual solutions for reducing carbon emissions are shutting down coal-fired generating stations or converting them to natural gas, a fuel with much lower CO2 emissions. The $850 million in extra costs paid by consumers in 2018 would have been enough to convert almost the entire coal-fired fleet to gas. In effect, we could have already transitioned to our low-carbon future. Instead, consumers are stuck paying high prices, while coal-fired electricity plants continue to emit CO2.

It is well known that the carbon tax resulted in the return of unprofitable power purchase agreements to the Balancing Pool, costing Albertan ratepayers as much as $2 billion. The costs I have discussed above are on top of this loss.


https://calgaryherald.com/opinion/co...tricity-sector

https://business.financialpost.com/n...ith-government
That's an interesting article - thanks. You won't hear me defend poor implementations of carbon taxes, I'd much rather they were implemented properly. Just charge everyone the same, including industry and power generation, and if the cost is too much (but at $30/ton it shouldn't be), then reduce other taxes to compensate.

Kenney's indefensible move of killing the carbon tax may be a blessing in disguise when Alberta then ends up with the federal tax instead. Having all the provinces in the country under the same system would be optimal, so Kenney's action will move one more province onto it. And then we all get a silly rebate! Of course, the Albertan government will have to find the lost revenue somewhere else, or increase our debt load.
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  #1023  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 2:13 PM
milomilo milomilo is offline
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Originally Posted by Doug View Post
It’s tough to campaign on cut backs so the UCP if elected will likely follow the tried and true path of claiming that previous administration covered up dire provincial finances, necessitating restraint.

The corporate tax cut if it happens will likely increase revenue. The economy is so poor right now that corporate taxes aren’t bringing in much revenue. The NDP’s tax increase from 10% to 12% was accompanied by significantly less revenue. How much of that was released to the economic downturn is impossible to quantify. The corporate tax cut could also be partially funded by reducing the NDP’s corporate welfare giveaways. No government has a good track record in picking corporate winners.

An MLA can keep personal views personal without tainting their actions as a legislator. Kenney’s legislative record has not been socially conservative. If an MP were to be up to their eyeballs in personal debt, should that preclude them from legislating economic issues? NDP candidate Anne McGrath ran for the Communist Party in the 1980’s. Does that mean that Notley supports sending gays to the gulag?

The debate over GSA’s is a red herring. Kenney says he wants to change parental notification rules back to how they were pre-NDP, which would align with other provinces. Was Kathleen Wynne anti-LBGQ in supporting the same policy as Kenney? Regardless, Kenney won’t act. This is nothing more than a get out the vote measure to SoCons. Notley is the one who politicized GSA’s in the first place.
So essentially you are relying on Kenney lying and not doing what he says when in power? That's fair, he is a politician so it's a guarantee he will not live up to his promises, but I expect it won't be in the way they want. Given that even on paper his party's policies are worse for the province's finances, I'm not buying the notion that the province will be in better shape after 4 years with him.

No one anywhere believes that cutting corporate taxes increase revenue anymore - not even US Republicans are spinning that. That is especially true when corporate taxes are already low, as they are in Alberta. While it probably will increase investment a little, it won't be enough to make up the tax shortfall, so we will either have to live with increased debt, increased taxes, or cut public spending even more than we had to - on top of the lost revenue from scrapping the carbon tax. How is that responsible?

To be honest, I know I bring it up but I too don't care too much about social issues normally. But Kenney's actions really do speak to his character - walking out on the abortion protest vote was inexcusable cowardice, and too his refusal to apologize for past actions etc. Most politicians are able to separate their personal views from their political actions, but Kenney is incapable of this, and that is scary.
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  #1024  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 2:44 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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Originally Posted by Corndogger View Post
I thought this looked more than a bit sketchy so I decided to do some digging. Guess who's behind this? It's Nenshi's long-time, always wrong, personal pollster Brian F. Singh. When you start to see shit like this you know that the NDP doesn't have a hope in hell of winning.
All pollsters have worked for a variety of campaigns in the past. If I recall correctly, with the municipal election, these guys had the numbers correct, but those being paid by Post Media were consistently off. Do you remember this, or am I confused and the mayor is actually Bill Smith?
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  #1025  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 2:45 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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Originally Posted by suburbia View Post

LINK - https://www.nationalobserver.com/201...orate-tax-cuts

The experience we’ve had with corporate tax cuts in recent years and broadly accepted evidence about their impacts by U.S. and Canadian government agencies demonstrates that the large corporate tax cuts Kenney is promising would have very small positive economic impacts, if any at all.

Instead, a large share of these billions in tax cuts would flow out of Alberta to the foreign owners of the province’s large resource companies, at the great expense of ordinary Albertans.
This article is actually quite extensive. Great analysis.
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  #1026  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 4:26 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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Video: "Jason Kenney is demanding Bill C-69 be scrapped and he's threatening dire consequences if it isn't. Problem is, industry has moved on. CEPA, for instance, now admits the best strategy is to amend the existing legislation. And Senator Paula Simons, who sits on the committee reviewing the bill, has some downright shocking things to say about Kenney and what oil industry lobbyists are saying about the UCP leader in Ottawa."

https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=414514709115671

The Senator's comments on this video are quite clear. If I'm not mistaken she used to be a senior journalist with PostMedia's Edmonton Journal, but apparently has not seen the light.


LINK - https://twitter.com/Paulatics/status...60235034058752
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  #1027  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 4:43 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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LINK - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calga...tley-1.5075845

This is an excellent long-format thoughtful piece that is broken into thematic areas. For example, regarding pipelines:



Quote:
She's bringing public services into the 21st century by modernizing the education curriculum, expanding health care to address mental health issues, particularly children's mental health, and making life more affordable with a $15-per-hour minimum wage, a $25-a-day daycare program and more affordable housing. She's got her eye on the future by investing in artificial intelligence and high-tech companies.
The rhetoric of Jason Kenney focuses on the past and blame and victimhood. The rhetoric of some of his candidates is even more alarming in that it reflects an Alberta that's becoming more homophobic, Islamophobic and misogynistic.

I'm voting for Rachel Notley because she's the only leader with the integrity, character, grace and vision to lead Alberta into the future, unlike Jason Kenney, whose vision is nothing more than a glimpse in the rear-view mirror.


-> https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calga...tley-1.5075845
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  #1028  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 5:00 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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You can watch Rachel Notley's speech today LIVE on Facebook. This will be a very interesting one IMHO for those on all sides of the various spectrums:
https://www.facebook.com/rachelnotle...57262267900381
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  #1029  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 5:15 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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NEW RCMP INVESTIGATION AGAINST UCP


LINK - https://twitter.com/JWongGlobalNews/...66515324964872


Robocalls going to Alberta Party supporters purporting to be Mandell, and claiming falsely that he is putting his support behind Jason Kenney's UCP


https://twitter.com/SMandel_AB/statu...60664870563840
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  #1030  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 5:27 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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4 RCMP investigations against the UCP currently - unreal!


LINK - https://twitter.com/FreedomAlberta/s...78341198487553
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  #1031  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 6:36 PM
Phil McAvity Phil McAvity is offline
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Originally Posted by suburbia View Post

LINK - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calga...tley-1.5075845

This is an excellent long-format thoughtful piece that is broken into thematic areas. For example, regarding pipelines:



The rhetoric of Jason Kenney focuses on the past and blame and victimhood. The rhetoric of some of his candidates is even more alarming in that it reflects an Alberta that's becoming more homophobic, Islamophobic and misogynistic.

I'm voting for Rachel Notley because she's the only leader with the integrity, character, grace and vision to lead Alberta into the future, unlike Jason Kenney, whose vision is nothing more than a glimpse in the rear-view mirror.


-> https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calga...tley-1.5075845
I don't often agree with Canada's only state-sponsored media but in this instance I agree, Kenney's approach is a "glimpse in the rear-view mirror" only I hope it's more than just a glimpse but rather a full jump back to it. By saying that, it's like the woman that wrote this knows nothing about the history of Alberta and the fact it was for as long as I can remember the wealthiest province in Canada and who wouldn't want to return to that? She also attempts to smear Kenney by saying," The rhetoric of some of his candidates is even more alarming in that it reflects an Alberta that's becoming more homophobic, Islamophobic and misogynistic" yet she doesn't have even one example of Kenney being homophobic, Islamophobic or misogynistic" so instead she argues that by proxy he must be guilty of these things which is to say the least, a weak argument against him.
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  #1032  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 6:57 PM
Corndogger Corndogger is offline
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Originally Posted by suburbia View Post
All pollsters have worked for a variety of campaigns in the past. If I recall correctly, with the municipal election, these guys had the numbers correct, but those being paid by Post Media were consistently off. Do you remember this, or am I confused and the mayor is actually Bill Smith?
WTF are you talking about? These "guys" weren't even around. Singh does push polls to try and make people think the nonsense Nenshi is pushing is popular. The guy is a total fraud.
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  #1033  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 7:18 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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This one covers the full spectrum ...

A guide to the Alberta election — the most unlikely political showdown in Cana
LINK - https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/...albertans.html

Quote:
To the rest of the country, an NDP government in Alberta seems like an aberration. While it’s not as outlandish as it first appears, this is still a story 100 years in the making. It’s a story about the changing face of Alberta, political dynasties and a steep divide between urban and rural voters.
Excellent analysis by MRU's Duane Bratt throughout this article.
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  #1034  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 7:21 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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Originally Posted by Corndogger View Post
WTF are you talking about? These "guys" weren't even around. Singh does push polls to try and make people think the nonsense Nenshi is pushing is popular. The guy is a total fraud.
So wait. Now you are dumping on Calgary's mayor, and by proxy demonizing all of the hundreds of thousands who voted for him? You're not going to win debates by making strawman arguments Corndogger.

BTW - at this point I'm getting a pinch confused. Could you help us by itemizing the four RCMP investigations of the UCP?
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  #1035  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2019, 7:46 PM
Corndogger Corndogger is offline
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Originally Posted by suburbia View Post
So wait. Now you are dumping on Calgary's mayor, and by proxy demonizing all of the hundreds of thousands who voted for him? You're not going to win debates by making strawman arguments Corndogger.

BTW - at this point I'm getting a pinch confused. Could you help us by itemizing the four RCMP investigations of the UCP?
Classic!
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  #1036  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2019, 3:25 AM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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LINK - https://twitter.com/rainguitar/statu...54069124689920

I can't believe that Jason Kenney's truck and other trucks have been trolling in this manner.

Last edited by suburbia; Apr 15, 2019 at 4:11 PM.
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  #1037  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2019, 6:53 AM
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Bcasey25raptor Bcasey25raptor is offline
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People with Notley derangement syndrome should be kept from office.
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  #1038  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2019, 2:31 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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Looks like the Trans Pacific Partnership w/o Trump has been excellent for Alberta. The focus towards Asia has diversified our markets.


LINK - https://twitter.com/trevortombe/stat...22429397372930

Why some Canadian farmers may soon tower 'head and shoulders' above their U.S. rivals in Japan
https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/bee...ptpp-1.4978777

Canadian beef producers enjoy TPP trade boost in Japan
https://www.ft.com/content/667a5faa-...b-ff8ef2b976c7
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  #1039  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2019, 3:13 PM
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jawagord jawagord is offline
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Originally Posted by suburbia View Post
Looks like the Trans Pacific Partnership w/o Trump has been excellent for Alberta. The focus towards Asia has diversified our markets.


LINK - https://twitter.com/trevortombe/stat...22429397372930

Why some Canadian farmers may soon tower 'head and shoulders' above their U.S. rivals in Japan
https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/bee...ptpp-1.4978777

Canadian beef producers enjoy TPP trade boost in Japan
https://www.ft.com/content/667a5faa-...b-ff8ef2b976c7
Beef trade by dollars is also up (and by a larger percentage) with Hong Kong and China, non-TPP countries, if the government of Canada stats are to be believed? And Japan totals are a poor second to the US totals which are also up significantly, maybe the declining Canadian dollar is at work here???

http://www.agr.gc.ca/eng/industry-ma...=1419965032803
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  #1040  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2019, 4:04 PM
suburbia suburbia is offline
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Beef trade by dollars is also up (and by a larger percentage) with Hong Kong and China, non-TPP countries, if the government of Canada stats are to be believed?
The massive increased sales to Japan were specifically resulting from decreasing of tariffs as negotiated in the TPP. As it stands, the TPP resulted in an immediate cut of 11% in the Japanese tariffs on Canadian beef, while maintaining the tariff level for the USA.

The increase in beef export to China is indeed massive, but that is the case for all people exporting to China. It is a result of a demand / supply imbalance that has increased beef prices there substantially. That doesn't take away from the TPP success with respect to Japan, and I'm happy UCalgary's Trevor Tombe pointed out this specific success.

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Originally Posted by jawagord View Post
Japan totals are a poor second to the US totals which are also up significantly
According to extensive articles in the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times, even the Americans are admitting that Canadian beef sales to Japan are booming due to the TPP and that the USA has been left out.

Trans-Pacific Trade Party Is Raging on Without the U.S.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/trans-p...-s-11555164181

Canadian beef producers enjoy TPP trade boost
https://www.ft.com/content/667a5faa-...b-ff8ef2b976c7

The TPP success for Canada at the cost of the USA has even been reported in the Japan Times.

Pacific trade deal spurs Canadian farm sales to Japan as U.S. looks on
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/20...pan-u-s-looks/

I don't get Jawagord. Why are you so anti-Canadian economy? ... to the point that you attempt to cast doubt on such clear successes even in the face of a massive amount of fact!
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