Quote:
Originally Posted by milomilo
This is the thing that is most important. Even if we don't believe in climate change at all or don't think it's worth fighting, if everyone else does then it doesn't matter what we think. And even then, focusing the bulk of our industry on one resource is foolhardy regardless, just looking at it from a mathematical view it means that this industry needs to grow faster than the average of the Canadian economy forever for Alberta to retain its "can do" status. And that is obviously impossible.
|
There is a big push to get rid of tropical oils (palm oil especially) because of the environmental destruction caused by growing the plants that make them. It's slowly reducing the size of the industry. We feel good about it here—which we should, the deforestation in Indonesia and Malaysia has nearly eliminated orangutans palm oil itself is terrible for your health—but it has led to job losses and desperation in that part of the world as demand falls.
Thunder Bay's economy had three pillars supporting it. With forestry, agricultural exports and vehicle manufacturing, we were already pretty diverse back in the 1980s. We were just diverse in the wrong things.
Forestry was killed off by the internet, changes to building codes and US tariffs. Agricultural exports were killed off by the fact that China's on the *other side* of the west, and Europe isn't fenced into two sides anymore. Vehicle manufacturing sounds good but then you realize it's public transit rail vehicles and the only entity buying them is the government, which is gradually becoming conservative nation-wide meaning a big fuck you to rail transit. No future there anymore. With the Mexican supply chain issues at Bombardier it's no longer a guarantee that the TTC and Metrolinx will stick with them as a vehicle supplier. Buy America policies mean our plant can't sell to the US anymore.
Thunder Bay is proof that even a dynamic and diverse economy can go sideways, fast. In 1970 we predicted the city would have 200,000 people in 2000. In 2005 we predicted it would have 75,000 by 2010. And at the end of the day, short of turning Toronto into the Tokyo of North America, public transit wise, what exactly would the government do to fix it? Convince the EU to ban wheat imports from Ukraine?
We put high hopes into the mines in the north thinking we'll be the next Alberta with all the precious metals up there, but they're just as hard to get out of the ground as Alberta's oil (they're in a swamp 300km from any roads, for one thing) and some of the biggest and richest mines have lifespans of just 10 years. That's another thing that Alberta doesn't seem to get: mines eventually run out of the thing they're mining, and then have to close. Atikokan once had a population of 8,000 people working in a nearby iron mine which exported its iron ore through a massive dock in Thunder Bay (the dock still exists, it's several million tonnes of concrete in an out of the way spot, so it will outlast humanity) and now, Atikokan has barely 2,000 people and that massive iron mine is a group of toxic lakes.
And that was iron!!! In the Iron Range! The gold mines are lucky if they get 20 years. The Ring of Fire has 40 to 80 years worth of resources in it. What are humans even going to do in 2200?? Where are we going to get more palladium, chromium and lithium than already exists on the planet?
This is why never ending growth is impossible. Things on the planet are finite, and even if there is a lot of something, if the market changes so that you have no customers for it, why extract it?
I hope Alberta has some luck with lithium because 500 Thunder Bayers need jobs as of 3 weeks ago. Apparently there's just shy of a million tonnes of it? That's about 6 million car batteries. There are 12 million cars on the road in Ontario. Good luck!