Quote:
Originally Posted by yuriandrade
Yesterday, Brazil crossed the 80,000 deaths barrier. Today, São Paulo state will cross the 20,000 mark. At this pace, within 20 days (around Aug 10th), Brazil will cross the 100,000 victims mark.
The first hit regions have passed the peak (São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, some Amazon and Northeast states), but they still have lots of casualties. On the other hand, regions that were spared (South and Central-West states, upstate São Paulo, Minas Gerais) are now watching a big spike on the number of deaths.
7-day moving death average is just above 1,000/day for almost two months now, with no signs of receding.
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Brazil reached yesterday
97,419 deaths so far. São Paulo state,
24,109, getting closer to the 28k in Spain, both with roughly the same population.
It seems Brazil will cross the 100,000 barrier within two days, two days before I forecasted. The 7-day moving average is still slightly above 1,000, stable for almost three months now, again, no signs of receding. Some states passed the peak, but others took their places, with soaring number of deaths.
São Paulo capital is still in the reopening process, streets are much busier, but a far cry from the normal. Everybody uses masks.