City Murder Rates

[KevinFromTexas]

2019 Austin Metro Murders

| Austin 26 | Travis Co. 27 | Bastrop Co. 3 | Caldwell Co. 0 | Hays Co. 6 | Williamson Co. 7 | Metro 43 |

Causes metrowide
Shooting - 28
Stabbing - 6
Strangled - 0
Suffocation - 0
Throwing (of child) - 0
Beating - 2
Vehicular homicide - 1
Blunt force trauma - 0
Sharp force trauma - 0
Unlisted cause - 6
Domestic terrorism - 0

Austin totals
Downtown - 2
Central Austin - 1
East Austin - 3
North Austin - 8
Northeast Austin - 1
Northwest Austin - 1
South Austin - 3
Southeast Austin - 7
Southwest Austin - 0
West Austin - 0

Victims
Male - 35
Female - 5
Unlisted - 1

| Jan 4 | Feb 7 | Mar 4 | Apr 4 | May 5 | Jun 5 | Jul 6 | Aug 6 | Sep 2 | Oct 0 | Nov 0 | Dec 0 |

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| Mon 4 | Tue 3 | Wed 7 | Thur 3 | Fri 7 | Sat 8 | Sun 11 |

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Murder cases

1 dead - http://www.fox7austin.com/news/local...rtment-complex - 1/20 - Cedar Park shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-1 - 1/20 - Austin stabbing

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-2 - 1/25 - Austin stabbing

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 1/26 - Cedar Park shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 2/1- Bartlett shooting 

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 2/13 - San Marcos shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 2/13 - Cedar Creek shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 2/17 - San Marcos shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 2/19 - Round Rock shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 2/23 - Elgin unlisted cause

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-3 - 2/24 - Austin stabbing

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-4 - 3/7 - Austin shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-5 - 3/17 - Austin unlisted cause of death

1 dead - https://www.kxan.com/news/local/aust...tin/1856248528 - 3/17 - Austin shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 3/24 - Austin beating

1 dead - https://www.kvue.com/article/news/cr...c-03c61d2c2181 - 4/5 - San Marcos shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-8 - 4/9 - Austin shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-9 - 4/10 - Austin shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-10 - 4/17 - Austin unlisted cause

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-11-update - 5/4 - Austin shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-12-update - 5/4 - Austin vehicular homicide

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-13 - 5/5 - Austin shooting 

1 dead - https://www.kxan.com/news/local/hays...ZdN4jydVU4ljg4 - 5/5 - San Marcos shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 5/31 - Cedar Creek stabbing

1 dead - https://cbsaustin.com/news/local/pol...rtment-complex - 6/5 - San Marcos shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 6/23 - Austin (unlisted cause)

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 6/24 - Austin shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 6/26 - Round Rock shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 6/28 - Austin shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 7/4 - Del Valle stabbing

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-17 - 7/4 - Austin unlisted cause - manslaughter charge case

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-20 - 7/18 - Austin shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-19 - 7/20 - Austin shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-23 - 7/20 - Austin shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-21 - 7/23 - Austin shooting

1 dead  - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-22-0 - 7/26 - Austin unlisted cause

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 8/3 - Cedar Park shooting

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 8/3 - Round Rock beating 

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-24 - 8/4 - Austin unlisted cause

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-25 - 8/11 - Austin shooting 

1 dead - https://cbsaustin.com/news/local/man...-in-san-marcos - 8/26 - San Marcos stabbing

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-26 - 8/30 - Austin shooting

1 dead - http://www.austintexas.gov/news/homicide-27 - 9/10 - Austin shooting

1 dead - https://www.kxan.com/news/local/aust...tment-complex/ - 9/23 - Austin shooting

Pending cases

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 2/2 - Austin - unlisted cause

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 3/30 - Austin beating

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...emplate=ampart - 4/17

1 dead - https://cbsaustin.com/news/local/pol...8Y783te5Rdh8XQ - 5/5

1 dead - https://www.statesman.com/news/20190...h-austin-hotel - 5/5

1 dead - https://www.kxan.com/news/local/kyle...picious-death/ - 10/25 - Kyle suspicious death

1 dead - https://www.kxan.com/news/mans-body-...wntown-austin/ - 10/28 - Austin body in river

Austin area population

City: 964,254 (July 1, 2018 estimate) - source: US Census Bureau
Travis County: 1,248,743 (July 1, 2018 estimate) - source: US Census Bureau
Metro: 2,168,316 (July 1, 2018 estimate) - source: US Census Bureau

Area - City: 297 square miles (2010) - US Census Bureau
Area - Metro: 4,285 square miles - Wikipedia
Area - Travis County: 1,023 square miles - Wikipedia

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Previous years

2018 - 35
2017 - 23
2016 - 39
2015 - 19
2014 - 31
2013 - 25
2012 - 32
2011 - 28
2010 - 31
2009 - 23
2008 - 24
2007 - 30
2006 - 20
2005 - 26

[Darkoshvilli]

Montreal has 11 and a rate of 0.5 per 100k

Long gone are the days of biker shootouts and daily bank holdups.

[Northern Light]

Toronto, as at Sept 2nd:

41 homicides year to date.

At a population of 2,800,000, that equates to a homicide rate of 2.17 per 100,000 (annualized)

[dc_denizen]

New York, as of 8/25, is at 199 homicides

[Sun Belt]

Originally Posted by iheartthed

Yeah, it's very important to remember that we're living in the least violent period in modern human history. Europe today is a miracle. Europeans were extremely violent towards each other throughout history, and suddenly that stopped after WW2.

The world has never been safer than today. The Global Battle death rate is near it's all time low.

[dc_denizen]

Yonkers, the largest city in westchester county ny (directly north of the Bronx) , population 200,000 and a somewhat notorious city in the past, had one murder in all of 2018

More here in the staggering decline of crime in Yonkers:

https://yonkerstimes.com/crime-rates...ws-in-yonkers/

[Crawford]

About half of Yonkers is essentially an extension of very working class, very gritty parts of the Bronx, so that's pretty impressive, at least for U.S. standards. There are some leafy, affluent, classically Westchester parts, but that's relatively small share of Yonkers.

[RATBOYKEV]

Atlanta's Crime Rate, by crime category, 1990-2018



Data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Sources for data: Yearly FBI Uniform Crime Reports & Annual incorporated area census estimates

[toddguy]

Columbus is at 73 homicides as of 9/4 per last press release from Columbus Police.

[photoLith]

What is the general consensus as to why crime has so drastically decreased since the early 90's? It always seems 1992 or so was where most cities peaked with murder rates and then they sharply fell right after that almost everywhere.

[galleyfox]

Originally Posted by photoLith

What is the general consensus as to why crime has so drastically decreased since the early 90's? It always seems 1992 or so was where most cities peaked with murder rates and then they sharply fell right after that almost everywhere.

The most convincing argument I've heard is that crime is generational. There have been crime spikes and sudden drop-offs in previous eras that usually last 20-40 years.

It seems that something happens, war and its aftermath or great societal upheaval, and violence spreads like wildfire among everybody susceptible to it. Then, the next generation has a backlash against the violence, the older generation ages out of their habits, and crime drops until the next great crisis.

http://thepublicintellectual.org/201...-crime-puzzle/

[suburbanite]

Originally Posted by photoLith

What is the general consensus as to why crime has so drastically decreased since the early 90's? It always seems 1992 or so was where most cities peaked with murder rates and then they sharply fell right after that almost everywhere.

I don't think there really is consensus and the theories are pretty broad-ranging. There's the idea that the increased availability of abortions lead to less kids growing up in circumstances predisposing them to crime. There's the leaded gasoline theory or the use of crack cocaine become less prevalent for whatever reason. Could've just been an anomaly as the economy needed time to switch to mainly service-based from it's industrial past. The 90's was the start of very strong economic growth, and although there were blips from the dot-com bubble or the 2008 recession, they were more setbacks as opposed to a total structural reorganization of the economy.

It probably makes more sense to look at the trends locally. Each city has some unique circumstances. New York's drastic decline is largely the result of massive gentrification of some of the most notorious neighbourhoods in the country. An Influx of global wealth and talent pushing everything outwards from the core.

[MonkeyRonin]

Originally Posted by suburbanite

I don't think there really is consensus and the theories are pretty broad-ranging. There's the idea that the increased availability of abortions lead to less kids growing up in circumstances predisposing them to crime. There's the leaded gasoline theory or the use of crack cocaine become less prevalent for whatever reason. Could've just been an anomaly as the economy needed time to switch to mainly service-based from it's industrial past. The 90's was the start of very strong economic growth, and although there were blips from the dot-com bubble or the 2008 recession, they were more setbacks as opposed to a total structural reorganization of the economy.

It probably makes more sense to look at the trends locally. Each city has some unique circumstances. New York's drastic decline is largely the result of massive gentrification of some of the most notorious neighbourhoods in the country. An Influx of global wealth and talent pushing everything outwards from the core.

More than likely a bit of a mix of everything - which aside from the above also include things like an aging population (fewer young men = less crime), improved policing & reporting of crimes, less corruption, improved medical responses leading to a lower death rate, etc.

As for why ~1992 in particular was the peak: poor economy, crack epidemic, social upheaval, and being the all-around low point in the health of most cities, probably.

[Capsicum]

Originally Posted by MonkeyRonin

More than likely a bit of a mix of everything - which aside from the above also include things like an aging population (fewer young men = less crime), improved policing & reporting of crimes, less corruption, improved medical responses leading to a lower death rate, etc.

As for why ~1992 in particular was the peak: poor economy, crack epidemic, social upheaval, and being the all-around low point in the health of most cities, probably.

Was the 1992 peak a US-only phenomenon, or did it exist in other countries?

[Jonesy55]

In the UK crime peaked around 1993-95 before starting a long slide. It has picked up again a little in the last couple of years, possibly due to police numbers being slashed by 20% to save money, but even with that recent uptick it's still way lower than the 1990s.



Other European countries have also seen big falls since peaks in the 1990s I think.

[ilcapo]

City of Barcelona, Spain (pop 1.6) is at 13 or 14 i believe, which should be considered low.

Petty crime theft and robbery is up however.

[creamcityleo79]

St Paul, MN is at 22 for the year...8 in September alone.
Minneapolis is at 32 for the year.

[tablemtn]

Looks like the new FBI report is out for 2018:



https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s...tables/table-5

(By state)

https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s...c-pages/murder

(Overview specifically for murder):

In 2018, the estimated number of murders in the nation was 16,214. This was a 6.2 percent decrease from the 2017 estimate, a 14.5 percent increase from the 2014 figure, and a 5.3 percent increase from the number in 2009...

There were 5.0 murders per 100,000 people in 2018. The murder rate in 2018 was down from the rates in 2017 (6.8 percent) and 2009 (1.2 percent). However, the murder rate climbed 11.6 percent when compared with the 2014 rate.

[prokowave]

Originally Posted by galleyfox

The most convincing argument I've heard is that crime is generational. There have been crime spikes and sudden drop-offs in previous eras that usually last 20-40 years.

It seems that something happens, war and its aftermath or great societal upheaval, and violence spreads like wildfire among everybody susceptible to it. Then, the next generation has a backlash against the violence, the older generation ages out of their habits, and crime drops until the next great crisis.

http://thepublicintellectual.org/201...-crime-puzzle/

There is a strong correlation with the banning of lead paint and gasoline in the 70s, which would explain a drop in the 90s.

[galleyfox]

Originally Posted by prokowave

There is a strong correlation with the banning of lead paint and gasoline in the 70s, which would explain a drop in the 90s.

The issue with that theory is that it doesn't explain why the 1940s and 50s would have an equally dramatic decrease in crime. Nor why crime would suddenly spike in the 1960s. Nor why the late 1800s saw an even more dramatic crime decrease. Those were not environmentally conscious eras, but they experienced the same crime spikes and collapses as we're seeing now.