Quote:
Originally Posted by Chicago103
Might Rahm avoid a runoff? Sure, of course, but I think some of you are a bit overconfident about it.
http://www.ogdenfry.com/polls/2015Mayoral1.pdf
Poll without an undecided option February 14, 2015:
Rahm Emanuel 49.2%
Chuy Garcia 23.0%
Willie Wilson 14.4%
Bob Fioretti 8.6%
William Walls 4.9% |
yep. it'll be close. last time rahm was able to squeeze out a 55% win to avoid a run-off. if he avoids a run-off this time around, i expect the margin to be much thinner. the polls keep putting him right around the 50% mark (well within the margin of error) when undecideds are pushed, so it's impossible to tell from polling if he will do it or not.
if rahm doesn't get to 50% + 1 in the first round, i still expect him to beat garcia in a run-off.
only one week to go!