Quote:
Originally Posted by Stormer
One of the UN's population prediction scenarios see the world population beginning to fall by mid-century. I think this is realistic. Birthrates are below replacement in most big countries including Europe, the U.S., China, Brazil, Russia, Japan... Poor countries face either disaster (war/famine) or progress (which always means falling birthrates). For example, demographers are predicting Nigeria will have nearly a billion people by the end of the century. Not a chance.
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The World population is expected to reach 9.7 billion people by 2050, and 11.2 billion people by 2100. There is no reliable sources that predict the population will fall (I assume you mean decline) by 2050.
http://www.un.org/en/development/des...15-report.html
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/n...0-boom-africa/
You are basing your argument over things you predict will happen. How do you know that Nigeria will not reach one billion people by 2100?
Birthrates are still above replacement in the USA, China, and Brazil.
Birthrates have tended to actually increase in times of political instability, especially in developing countries. Since education and birth control policies are neglected, the birth rate tends to increase faster. This has been happening in Africa since World War 2.