Might Rahm avoid a runoff? Sure, of course, but I think some of you are a bit overconfident about it.
http://www.ogdenfry.com/polls/2015Mayoral1.pdf
Poll without an undecided option February 14, 2015:
Rahm Emanuel 49.2%
Chuy Garcia 23.0%
Willie Wilson 14.4%
Bob Fioretti 8.6%
William Walls 4.9%