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Originally Posted by Chicago103
It is the most recent poll available that I have seen anywhere and until a post debates poll comes out it is only speculation what kind of an impact they had, actually I don't think mayoral debates have that big of an impact in and of themselves.
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Emanuel crosses 50 percent mark in pre-election poll
Looks like the debates did make a difference.
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When I said Rahm would have a 50/50 chance of winning a runoff I meant that his campaign money could still overcome a challenger like Chuy Garcia, although the anti-Rahm vote would be motivated behind that one challenger and voter turnout might increase. Do you think the chance of him winning a runoff would be more or less than 50%?
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I think Rahm's chance of willing a runoff is far higher than 50%. Rahm is doing fairly well with undecided, and would probably pick off at least some of the Fioretti or other peoples' votes, at least enough to get him past 50%. In addition, it looks like Daley is probably going to issue an endorsement for him soon.