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Old Posted Jul 13, 2016, 2:55 PM
wwmiv wwmiv is online now
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Location: Austin -> San Antonio -> Columbia -> San Antonio -> Chicago -> Austin -> Denver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Novacek View Post
How is there almost double the population, when many of those census tracts _lost_ population?

http://www.austincontrarian.com/aust...opulation.html



And again, that was the 25 year ridership projection. So it was projecting out to what the population growth would have been after 25 years of growth and infill (in 2025).


Edit: source:

https://austinrailnow.files.wordpres...-nov-1999_.pdf

Ridership Forecast (2025) 37,400 average weekday boardings
Ah, well, you win on that on sort-of. Yes, total population fell, but population that could realistically take advantage of rail increased per the article linked:

"Again, I predict the data will show that the declining populations are caused by shifting demographics rather than declining demand for the neighborhoods. Singles and couples without children are displacing larger households in these older, expensive central neighborhoods. It would take more housing at 2000's occupancy rate just to maintain the 2000 population. Throw in higher vacancy rates caused by the recession and you have mild population loss."

Furthermore, there's been significant residential development over the last six years since the recession along this route. Must of our core's population growth has been since the recession not before, so 2010's population number is actually simply illusory.
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