Quote:
Originally Posted by ocman
Numerically, LA already gained on the difference by nearly half a million people over 8 years. We very well may see LA technically matching NYC in our lifetime, especially as California is suddenly getting serious about the housing crisis and if Newsom walks the talk on his pledge to add 3.5 million houses in CA in 6 years. But even when that happens, there won’t be any added substance than there is right now in talking about the meaning of those population differences.
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It’s possible, but I don’t think it’s likely. You’re talking about tacking on another IE (population 4.6 million) essentially just to match NYC, assuming continued growth on its part. For perspective, the five-county CSA has only added about 3.8 million since the 1990 census.
And with Millennials and young Gen Xers having fewer children and at later ages (mid-to-late 30s), the high cost of living, and inadequate public infrastructure, it’s just a far from realistic expectation.