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https://www.google.com/maps/place/Ri...!4d-98.4844172 https://www.google.com/maps/place/Ri...!4d-98.4844172 https://www.google.com/maps/place/La...!4d-98.4889019 https://www.google.com/maps/place/La...!4d-98.4889019 |
Wow! This is really cool, The SATX is on fire right now! Buckle up boys & girls, there are no signs of slowing down!
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San Antonio getting a little love from ESPN. I would be willing to shell out money to have an MLB team in San Antonio.
http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2...look-expansion |
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If you look at this link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...tistical_areas You can see that we are the 24th largest metro area in the country. By 2030, we should overtake Baltimore and St Louis, and we would be really close to overtaking Charlotte. That would make us the 21st market in the country, with little chance of other areas catching up. Taking the rate that Austin is closing the gap, they would not catch up until the year 2054. After 2050, it will be Austin and SA at 21 and 22 in metro size. Of course, no one has a crystal ball of the future, and things can always change. Especially since SA has actually decreased the rate that Austin is catching up when comparing the 1st decade to this second. It may end up taking Austin beyond 2060 to catch up. But lets face it, the reality is that they are 2 markets with a lack of pro sports. In the end, they will probably be split between the two with San Antonio having football and basketball, and Austin having MLS, and Hockey. Baseball will be up in the air. Like the article mentioned, it will come down to the ownership group. |
Not sure if any of you will care any more than I do, but there are rumors of "Real Housewives: San Antonio", although unconfirmed by Bravo.
https://www.mysanantonio.com/enterta...s-12973383.php :shrug: |
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Not so fast (or should I say it would be a wiser bet that you would be wrong). If one takes the growth of both cities between the 2010 census and the July 1, 2017 estimate (according to the Census Bureau), and extrapolate that same growth out from July 2, 2017 to July 1, 2050, Austin's metro will have over 1 million more people than SA's (~6.197 million to ~5.065 million respectively). Of course, nobody can see the future. Oh - never quote Wiki. Heck, anyone can go in there and change the numbers. |
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Never quote Wiki Predicting 32 years into the future on absolutes, or based on past performance, is limited in it's usefulness. Hell, there might be a linear park from San Antonio to Dallas by then. Safe to say both cities will grow, as well other cities elsewhere, and in between, and that growth better be planned for, both for the cities, and the region as a whole. |
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https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/...xhtml?src=bkmk Hope this helps clarify things. It shows that Austin is catching San Antonio by about 10k people a year. The same numbers were showing 12k from 2000 to 2010. My point is that San Antonio is growing rapidly as well, but people only seem to see Austin as growing. The metro areas are 360k apart. Not sure about how you extrapolated you data, but I would see it taking 30+ years for Austin just to break even. Again this is about San Antonio having explosive growth as well. San Antonio may even shrink the rate that Austin is catching up by even more. Can you send me the sites you were getting you information from? Even taking your higher numbers into account, maybe we are 19 -20 instead of 20-21 (surpassing Detroit). In the end, my main point was that both cities will be about the same size and will mostlikey split teams. The area will be large enough to support a full compliment of pro sports. I can't wait to see how it all plays out. As far as my numbers being wrong, I would agree. Mainly because there are no numbers that can predict the future. I would say that you are wrong as well based on how I calculated my numbers, only time will say who is right. Either way there is no prize fr the winner. |
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Austin grew 433,489 from 2010 to 2017. San Antonio grew by 368,302 from 2010 to 2017. With those numbers Austin will outgrow San Antonio by 297,904 which means the metros would be the same size in 2050. |
SA 2017 pop. 1.5 mil, pop. increase, 24,208
Austin 2017 pop. 950,715, pop. Increase, 12,515 This is from just 2016 to 2017. So 5 years ago Austin was growing faster. Last year, SA was |
Also over the next few years I heard SA may be annexing up to 66 miles around the city, gaining around 200,000 more people. Passing Phoenix & Philadelphia in population.
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Too many variables to expect accurate predictions of 30 years from now. |
You got that right! I actually think this is kind of a pointless conversation, I just wanted to add that for some reason.
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