Provincial Politics
2019 Newfoundland and Labrador General Election - May 16 2019
Opinion polling: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_N...#Opinion_polls Looks like we have ourselves an election. Also a thread for general politics of the province. |
Quote:
Behind a paywall, but the five districts are: Mount Scio Mount Pearl South-Southlands Humber-Bay of Islands St. John's Centre St. John's East-Quidi Vidi My predictions for said districts: Mount Scio: Liberal gain Mouht Pearl South-Southlands: Liberal gain Humber-Bay of Islands: Liberal gain, though Joyce could possibly pull it off as an independent St. John's Centre: Progressive Conservative gain St. John's East-Quidi Vidi: NDP hold, though I think with the party in such disarray this is the best chance for another party to swoop in and flip the district. |
St. John's Centre: Progressive Conservative gain
I'm hoping you are wrong about this one. I do not wish to see Galgay making a return to public service. I don't think Dinn has a enough time to make an impression to hold the seat for the NDP though. |
I can’t imagine the Liberals winning Mount Scio. I’d say it’s the PCs to lose. Not sure how Mount Pearl-Southlands will go with Paul Lane on the ballot.
|
Quote:
Quote:
Hasan Hai is pretty well known, and is very popular among a lot of different groups of people. I'm giving him Mount Pearl-Southlands for that alone. The only real people who take issue with him are the far-right idiots who think he's a terrorist. Nice to see you posting again, Posc. It's been a while, but I knew a politics discussion could draw you outta the corner :haha: |
Quote:
Interesting update in Burin-Grand Bank. Bill Matthews was a highly popular PC MHA, followed by highly popular PC turned Liberal MP. It's been a long time since he was in politics though. I had this district pegged as a shoe-in for re-electing Carol Anne Haley, who in herself is very popular due to her association with Judy Foote, but Matthews could make this race a little interesting. |
Quote:
Hassan Hai was a good catch for the Liberals. That area had not typically been a great area for Liberals so I’m wondering if his own brand is enough to put him over the edge. Paul Lane is the wildcard here and makes the race interesting. Did he get enough popularity from getting booted from the Liberals to be a contender? He narrowly won this seat in 2015 despite being the incumbent against a weak PC Party. If Gillian Pearson could hold onto the support the PCs won in 2015 it’d be enough for her to win. Not being a recognizable name will probably hurt her. Being female might be a help though. Unknown females did very well in the St. John’s municipal election, but who knows if that translates over to provincial politics. And thanks. :) I’ve continued to follow along but rarely get a chance to post. I usually catchup on my phone and it can be harder to respond. |
Quote:
Dinn seems likable enough but as you say... is there enough time for people to get to know him? And then there's the whole matter of financing the thing. I mean the largest NDP donors last time around were the MHAs themselves! What we need is campaign finance reform but it looks like that'll have to wait until after the election now. Fingers crossed that it actually happens though. (https://www.thetelegram.com/news/loc...brador-300884/) |
I believe the deadline for candidate nominations and appointments is this afternoon. If that's the case, the NDP party are dead in the water. Even the NL Alliance will have more candidates.
|
Quote:
I think if they manage to get Coffin and Dinn in it will be considered a success. I'm not an NDP person but I still don't know how they seem so incompetent. What was the point Rogers running in that leadership race last year to only step down 10 months later?... |
Quote:
From what I here there's party infighting between the 'SJ social justice club' and 'winning elections' camp. But who knows.. I'm sure it's all interpersonal at such small numbers. Baffling that they continue to prove the naysayers correct ('disorganized', etc). From the Indy: "But the provincial Tories, at worst, are facing some modest embarrassment; the NL NDP faces outright obliteration. In what should otherwise be a knock-down election for them—it is rare to see a Newfoundland and Labrador electorate so blasé with both governing parties—the party instead managed to dismantle itself completely 45 days before the writ dropped. Gerry Rogers threw her ten-month tenure as leader out the window in February, leaving Alison Coffin to come in and try and invent an election campaign from scratch. Then, because certain members of the party would prefer to start a civil war through the media than talk to one another, the NDP proceeded to shut down St. John’s deputy mayor Sheilagh O’Leary as a candidate and bled some of its stronger names (i.e. George Murphy and Nicole Kieley) to the Liberals. As it stands, the NDP have five of their 40 candidates in place and less than a week to sort everything out. It is grim. But low expectations can make their own luck; Coffin is an unknown quantity to the public, which makes the high-energy MUN economist a wildcard in a leader’s debate. This would be more helpful if there was a party apparatus that could translate her clowning the other leaders into votes. But hey: they’ll be ready for that in 2023! (Maybe.)" http://theindependent.ca/2019/04/20/the-phony-war/ |
Was out in Mount Pearl today and did a quick drive through some of the residential streets. In Mount Pearl Southlands Paul Lane definitely had the most signs on people’s lawns. While there were more Hasan Hai signs around in public areas I only saw one or two on people’s lawns. His signs started going up last week I believe so was surprised to see they weren’t on lawns. Gillian Pearson didn’t have a great deal of signs in public areas but she seems to have a nice few on lawns.
|
Quote:
|
PC and Liberal Platforms
Here are direct links to the PC and Liberal 2019 election platforms:
PC: https://crosbie2019.ca/wp-content/up...-V04-WEB-1.pdf Liberal: https://nlliberals.ca/wp-content/upl...orm-forweb.pdf I haven't heard if the NDP platform has been released yet. |
Considering the state of the NDP I’m wondering if there will even be a platform. Their campaign has been pretty quiet, have hardly heard a thing besides the party defending not being able to get candidates.
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
However, at the end of the day, saying you will hire more health care workers probably doesn't bode well to many of the voting population. |
Quote:
Quote:
That being said, I think all of us here know this is the wrong approach. We need to drastically cut our health care spending through a mix of reducing inefficiencies and consolidation of publically-funded rural health clinics. The NDP (and the Alliance) know they have the upper hand on the campaign trail. They can promise the world knowing very well they have no way of forming government to follow through with said promises. Best case scenario for them is that they get a few seats in the house to push for these promises knowing very well the party in power and the opposition won't listen to them. |
Quote:
|
All times are GMT. The time now is 11:44 PM. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.