Texas Triangle
To continue the theme of the other posts, for the non Texans- let me paint a picture of what is happening in the state.
Today, as of 2019, FIVE of the THIRTEEN most populated cities in the United States of America, the #1 economic superpower in the world, are located in Texas. Not only are they located in Texas, they are located inside what is called the 'Texas Triangle'. Those cities, of course, are: Houston - 4 San Antonio- 7 Dallas- 9 Austin- 11 Ft. Worth- 13 Within that Texas Triangle, you will find TWO of the FIVE largest Metropolitan Areas in the United States. Those two, of course, are the Metroplex (Dallas + Ft. Worth) at #4 and the single city seat Metro of Houston at #5. All of the projections that I hear, for the population of Texas in the year 2050, have Texas around the 50-55 million projection. The majority (90%+), will be located within the Texas Triangle. What does that mean for the Texas cities....we shall see how it develops but, living in Houston, I can say the Inner loop & Uptown is going vertical at an alarming rate, and mass transit is increasing in Houston. I imagine the same is happening Dallas. Austin, is going through an obvious growth spurt and surprisingly, I haven't seen the same happen to San Antonio but....IT WILL. It is a huge rising stock! So, instead of thinking about the Houston and Metroplex passing the 3 in front of them, think about what WILL happen to the Texas Triangle. |
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Texas will turn Blue.
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Austin will still grow, but will take a step back to address the infrastructure problems associated with rapid growth. San Antonio is the wild card....look for this city to boom..really boom..a la Austin. A booming San Antonio metro will just morph into a bigger Austin metro. As for the rest, I expect to see much of the rest of the Texas Triangle to start to fill it at lesser density levels, but hopefully in a way to prevent the issues associated with sprawl. Either way, the Triangle will continue to become one of the most important regions of the United States. It's even more apparent if you consider Houston's "influence" along the Gulf Coast and beyond. Texas just isn't slowing down anytime soon. |
I was in Texas for the first time this year and it was hotter than I ever imagined. I fear for the well-being of 50 million people living there during whatever a heat wave looks like in 2050.
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This is interesting. A regional rail should be constructed ( if not already there) to connect all these cities to one another. Also something should be built to connect the Triangle to other cities that could benefit outside like El Paso, Amarillo, and Corpus Cristi.
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True, it does get hot...but the heat here is less of an issue than the extreme cold in most places. We've learned to live around the heat...its the outsiders who aren't used to it. |
Population growth rates are slowing everywhere in the US, including Texas.
This article in the Hill goes into detail... https://thehill.com/homenews/state-w...sity-in-coming |
One of the largest implications I see is that more effort should have been focused on building a major regional airport between Austin and San Antonio. There was talk around this, but Austin was eventually "gifted" Bergstrom AFB back in '91, paving the way for AUS (Austin Bergstrom International) and the rest is history.
Today, AUS is a first-class international airport, one that suits a thriving, rapidly growing city like Austin. Meanwhile, SAT (San Antonio International) recently expanded, and though the airport is growing and being renovated, it "feels" (and looks) like it belongs in a medium-sized city like Birmingham or Norfolk. As the two cities experience continue to attract new residents and businesses, and as their suburbs push closer and closer towards each other, the metros will essentially connect, and a regional transportation center along the lines of DFW could serve as a foundation for greater economic prosperity across the region. |
The border region has also boomed until recently, there are several million people there depending on what you count.
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I was literally just thinking about this today.
I think Waco has some future potential to boom as well, as it's the midway point from Dallas to Austin. Texas is impressive for it's giant metros. They have not developed in any kind of sustainable way (and in most cases are still not righting this wrong), but nonetheless, still impressive. I have a feeling Dallas will continue it's roaring growth. I think Austin is going to stall, mainly due to it's insane price point for an inland, non coastal city. It's very expensive, and while the city has a strong job market, I don't see this pricetag as being sustainable long term. Either the metro will stop growing or the suburbs will sprawl very far out from the city to meet demand for lower cost housing. |
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I wouldn't be surprised if the cities along the Interstate 35corridor(D/FW, Waco, Killen/Temple, Austin, San Antonio) all grow into each other or very close to doing so by 2050. I also think that the Texas Triangle will attract not just people out of state like it has been but other slower growing parts of the state will probably lose population to the Triangle.
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http://www.america2050.org/images/Texas_Triangle.png |
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People complain about the hot summers, but about half the year (and sometimes more) is mild to cool, and cold at times. But generally very pleasant except for some extended rainy periods. Don't forget, too, that northwest and west TX can have blizzards, although usually short lived and followed by nice weather. |
I said this in another thread but the explosive boom of the past is largely in the past for Texas. We are ageing and birthrates are declining across the board. We are still growing at a steady pace but the growth is stabilizing and the population is maturing; Houston for example is less and less of a transient city. People come here with intent of staying, not merely passing through. And the rest of the country is healthier economically to offer transplants more options. Houston at 7 million is more than enough but I'm sure we will hit 10 million (ugh) at some point but it will take longer to get there...
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